» How many church plants survive?

How many church plants survive?

What’s the survival rate of church plants? For years I’ve been hearing, “80% of church plants fail.”

See: What about the church planting failures?

No one can name the source of the 80% failure rate estimate. Ed Stetzer can name his source for an estimate of about 33% closure rate after four years. It’s a comprehensive study of over 2,000 church plants in the US between 2000-2005. Around two thirds of the churches planted were still in existence after four years.

Survivals-1
The average size of those churches after four years? Just over eighty.

Attendance-1
You can download the full report: Church Plant Survivability and Health Study 2007.

Many thanks to Ed Stetzer and the North American Mission Board.

4 Responses to “How many church plants survive?” »»

  1. Comment by scott | 06/05/07 at 10:59 am

    Interesting Steve, I can’t help reading these surveys and want to ask a few more questions. Such as number of transfers, de-churched as apposed to unchurched, the type of church (not just the denomination) I also suspect when you throw figures around its imprortant to remember this is an American survey and I suspect suscess would be harder to come by in other western countries.

  2. Comment by Bill | 06/06/07 at 6:02 pm

    Thanks for pointing out this survey by Stetzer. The stats are lower than expected, but purely on an anecdotal basis, it seems higher. I meet too many pastors now selling insurance that felt tossed aside after a failed church plant. I had heard another interesting type of statistic about church growth for planted churches – that a high percentage of the church plants never break a certain growth ceiling, a ceiling that sounded pretty low, like 50-70 people. Have you heard anything about that kind of statistic?

  3. Comment by LayGuy | 06/08/07 at 1:08 am

    Hi Steve,

    Just stumbled on your site and glad I did. I also live in Melbourne and serve in a church plant in Melton – http://www.citywestchurch.com

    I’ve read a couple of your articles and enjoyed reading. You are now on my rss feed so that I can get to know you better. I like your links to Acts 29 and The Resurgence as I value the material coming out of those sites – including Ed Stetzer.

    My Pastor emailed Driscoll and his assistant said that Driscoll will be speaking in NSW next October. Wonder what’s going on there?

  4. Comment by Justin Long | 06/10/07 at 10:28 am

    90% of all queen ants die without establishing a colony. Yet fire ants and argentine ants are taking over Australia and the southern United States. They can do it, of course, because of quantity. Every ant colony puts out thousands of queen ants every year…

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